IBM is “hiding a prototype model that can predict stock movements with 99% accuracy,” claim leakers
Investigating claims that IBM has an unreleased model allegedly capable of predicting stock movements with high accuracy.
A fresh set of anonymous accounts insists IBM has secretly built a predictive AI so powerful it can “see” stock prices days in advance. Naturally, nobody can explain how it works, show it working, or provide anything resembling evidence. Perfect.
The Claim
IBM is allegedly testing an internal model that can forecast short-term stock movements with “near-perfect accuracy,” supposedly by combining LLM reasoning with quantum-inspired optimisation. The rumour insists this system already beats every hedge fund model and is being “kept hidden to avoid destabilising the market.”
The Source
A handful of familiar characters:
– Anonymous X/Twitter “finance insiders”
– Zero-proof Reddit posts
– A YouTube channel known for claiming every tech company has “secret AGI”
– No screenshots, no papers, no code, no performance data
In short: the usual noise.
Our Assessment
Three problems:
- No model predicts markets with anywhere near perfect accuracy.
- IBM is not hiding a magical quantum-LLM hybrid because such a thing would require magical physics.
- Anyone bragging about “secret market-predicting AGI” is signalling they don’t understand markets, AGI, or secrecy.
Even the best quant systems operate on probabilities, not certainties. Market dynamics are chaotic, adversarial, and heavily dependent on information flow. A model predicting prices with 99% accuracy would destabilise everything instantly — because everyone would notice.
The Signal
There is a real trend here:
– Financial firms are aggressively testing LLM-augmented research tools
– Behavioural and macro signals are indeed being fed into multimodal models
– Market prediction hype spikes every time someone mentions “quantum”
The real story is that LLMs are slowly integrating into finance tooling — not that IBM has built a time machine for equities.
Verdict
Rumour Status: ❌ Finance-Bro Fanfiction
Confidence: 97%
A rumour built on quantum buzzwords, finance fantasies, and the assumption that IBM is secretly running a market-eating god-model. They aren’t. And if they were, you wouldn’t hear about it from “leaker420” on Twitter.
- For how model prediction actually functions, see What Is an AI Model, Anyway?
- For analysis of exaggerated capability claims, see “Sparks of AGI.”
